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Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Ostapenko vs Kasatkina analysis and find out who is favored!
Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria Kasatkina Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Ostapenko 6 - 2 Kasatkina
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Ostapenko has won 44.5% of points on their second serve, while Kasatkina has won 41.91%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Ostapenko, in recent form, has won 58.2% of their opponent's second serve points, while Kasatkina has won 58.25%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.9% and 40.37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Ostapenko has saved 57.03% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kasatkina has saved 53.77% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Ostapenko has won 67.19% of matches played (W/L 43/ 21), with Kasatkina winning 64.71% (W/L 44/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 48/ 21), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 136/ 107). Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 131/ 55), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114).
- Player level: In the last year, Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56% of matches (W/L 14/ 11), where as Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Ostapenko winning 6 times and Kasatkina being victorious 2 times. They have played 20 sets in total, with Ostapenko winning 12 and Kasatkina winning 8. The last match between Ostapenko and Kasatkina was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 13-01-2024, Final, Hard with Jelena Ostapenko getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:22:55.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Ostapenko and Kasatkina have played a deciding set 4 times, with Ostapenko winning 4 times and Kasatkina 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Ostapenko winning 0, and Kasatkina 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Ostapenko has played against opponents with an average rank of 113.7 while Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 109.99.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Ostapenko has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kasatkina has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Ostapenko has converted 45.76% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kasatkina has converted 48.32% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
13
Rank
5
High
27
Age
R
Plays
6
Total2
1
Hard1
2
Clay1
0
Indoor0
3
Grass0
14
Rank
8
High
27
Age
R
Plays
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
Form
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
63% (385-231)
Career Total W/L
64% (365-206)
69% (25-11)
YTD W/L
63% (20-12)
$10,335,707
Career Prize Money
$8,149,976
2
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Jelena Ostapenko | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 12 | 8 |
| Games Won | 96 | 80 |
| Aces (Total) | 16 | 16 |
| DFs (Total) | 24 | 33 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:22:55 | 1:22:55 |
| 1st Serve % | 59% (295/502) | 65% (341/527) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 62% (184/295) | 58% (199/341) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 41% (85/207) | 34% (63/186) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 60% (40/67) | 51% (36/71) |
| Return Points W% | 50% (265/527) | 46% (233/502) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (6/8) | 25% (2/8) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (4/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (4/4) | 50% (4/2) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (4/0) | 50% (4/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (4/2) | 0% (4/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats 
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
58%
(
35 of
60)
1st Serve %
55%
(
29 of
53)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
40%
(
10 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
38%
(
23 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
65
Total Points Won
48
|
||||
| 6-4 4-6 6-0 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
57%
(
49 of
86)
1st Serve %
71%
(
70 of
98)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
67%
(
33 of
49)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
41 of
70)
59%
(
22 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
35%
(
6 of
17)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
36%
(
31 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
48 of
98)
103
Total Points Won
81
|
||||
| 6-1 3-6 8-6 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60%
(
53 of
89)
1st Serve %
60%
(
55 of
92)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
7
55%
(
29 of
53)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
44%
(
16 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
12 of
37)
83%
(
10 of
12)
Break Points Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
49%
(
44 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
54 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
82
|
||||
| 1-6 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60%
(
49 of
82)
1st Serve %
62%
(
49 of
79)
0
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
4
59%
(
29 of
49)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
31 of
49)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
23%
(
7 of
30)
78%
(
7 of
9)
Break Points Won
58%
(
7 of
12)
48%
(
39 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
41 of
79)
84
Total Points Won
77
|
||||
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
77%
(
49 of
64)
1st Serve %
47%
(
22 of
47)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
20%
(
3 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
8 of
25)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
45%
(
29 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
27 of
47)
62
Total Points Won
49
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve %
57%
(
25 of
44)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
37%
(
21 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
61
Total Points Won
40
|
||||
| 4-6 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
66%
(
62 of
94)
1st Serve %
56%
(
47 of
84)
4
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
5
66%
(
41 of
62)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
25 of
47)
28%
(
9 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
15 of
37)
89%
(
8 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
47%
(
44 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
44 of
84)
94
Total Points Won
84
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 | |||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Jelena Ostapenko | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 69% (25/11) | 63% (20/12) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 62% (53/32) | 57% (44/33) |
| Games Win/Loss | 54% (434/374) | 52% (377/355) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 68% (13/6) | 60% (12/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 62% (8/5) | 67% (8/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (4/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.32 | 0.12 |
| Aces Total | 125 | 43 |
| DFs per game | 0.41 | 0.4 |
| DFs Total | 161 | 143 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:32:47 | 1:50:42 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 131.86 | 123.56 |
| 1st Serve % | 59% (1411/2411) | 68% (1667/2440) |
| 1st Serve W% | 68% (953/1411) | 60% (997/1667) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 45% (445/1000) | 42% (324/773) |
| BPs Won% Total | 46% (135/295) | 48% (158/327) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (1080/2406) | 47% (1162/2489) |
| Slam W/L | 60% (3/2) | 50% (2/2) |
| Masters W/L | 60% (9/6) | 50% (6/6) |
| Cups W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 85% (11/2) | 75% (12/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 69% (25/36) | 63% (20/32) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 75% (6/8) | 63% (5/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 77% (10/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st set W, W | 95% (21/20) | 84% (19/16) |
| 1st set W, L | 5% (21/1) | 16% (19/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 33% (15/5) | 31% (13/4) |
Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Clara Tauson
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
50%
(
48 of
96)
1st Serve %
57%
(
64 of
113)
4
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
11
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
38 of
64)
46%
(
22 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
21 of
49)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
60%
(
6 of
10)
42%
(
40 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
54 of
113)
110
Total Points Won
99
|
7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
53%
(
35 of
66)
1st Serve %
52%
(
34 of
65)
2
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
3
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
24 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
33 of
65)
75
Total Points Won
56
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
57%
(
62 of
108)
1st Serve %
71%
(
82 of
116)
7
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
58%
(
36 of
62)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
43 of
82)
48%
(
22 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
46%
(
50 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
55 of
116)
113
Total Points Won
111
|
4-6 6-4 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
58%
(
60 of
104)
1st Serve %
72%
(
69 of
96)
1
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
53%
(
32 of
60)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
31 of
69)
45%
(
20 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
50%
(
9 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
50%
(
52 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
54 of
96)
106
Total Points Won
94
|
6-4 5-7 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Anastasia Potapova
51%
(
39 of
76)
1st Serve %
50%
(
30 of
60)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
64%
(
25 of
39)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
43%
(
16 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
46%
(
35 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
32 of
60)
73
Total Points Won
63
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Ons Jabeur
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
52%
(
26 of
50)
1st Serve %
56%
(
28 of
50)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
18 of
28)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
4 of
22)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
36%
(
18 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
28 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
40
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
63%
(
34 of
54)
1st Serve %
77%
(
56 of
73)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
19 of
34)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
27 of
56)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
50%
(
7 of
14)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
48%
(
26 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
42 of
73)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve %
68%
(
38 of
56)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
71%
(
24 of
34)
1st Serve Won
39%
(
15 of
38)
31%
(
5 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
42%
(
21 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
32 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
45
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Linda Noskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
63%
(
24 of
38)
8
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
2
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
38%
(
11 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
7%
(
1 of
14)
100%
(
5 of
5)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
42%
(
30 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
66%
(
25 of
38)
67
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
view more
Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Peyton Stearns
Player
Daria Kasatkina
61%
(
42 of
69)
1st Serve %
74%
(
48 of
65)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
57%
(
24 of
42)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
52%
(
14 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
45%
(
31 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
35 of
65)
73
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Magdalena Frech
61%
(
38 of
62)
1st Serve %
80%
(
51 of
64)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
79%
(
30 of
38)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
24 of
51)
38%
(
9 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
37%
(
23 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
34 of
64)
73
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
53%
(
33 of
62)
1st Serve %
69%
(
40 of
58)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
64%
(
21 of
33)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
30 of
58)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Tatjana Maria
71%
(
51 of
72)
1st Serve %
51%
(
32 of
63)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
59%
(
30 of
51)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
14 of
32)
38%
(
8 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
10 of
31)
53%
(
8 of
15)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
47%
(
34 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
39 of
63)
77
Total Points Won
58
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Daria Kasatkina
74%
(
52 of
70)
1st Serve %
77%
(
71 of
92)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
38 of
71)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
10 of
21)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
88
Total Points Won
74
|
3-6 6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
77%
(
67 of
87)
1st Serve %
62%
(
48 of
77)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
66%
(
44 of
67)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
29 of
48)
25%
(
5 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
44%
(
38 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
77)
85
Total Points Won
79
|
7-6(5) 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Cristina Bucsa
66%
(
71 of
108)
1st Serve %
80%
(
90 of
113)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
2
51%
(
36 of
71)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
43 of
90)
46%
(
17 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
83%
(
10 of
12)
Break Points Won
71%
(
10 of
14)
51%
(
55 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
59 of
113)
112
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
27 of
42)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
36 of
71)
69
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71%
(
73 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52%
(
38 of
73)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
19 of
50)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
73%
(
8 of
11)
50%
(
52 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
125)
112
Total Points Won
116
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65%
(
62 of
96)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
17 of
51)
50%
(
10 of
20)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
47%
(
45 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
57 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
96
|
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
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Ostapenko Vs Kasatkina Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Ostapenko are available here and Kasatkina photos here.
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